Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 9

Oct 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
0 - 1
Juventus

Reijnders (61')
Thiaw (40')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Locatelli (63')
Weah (52'), McKennie (67'), Gatti (71'), Locatelli (72'), Allegri (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Genoa 0-1 AC Milan
Saturday, October 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Juventus

All competitions

Last Game: Juventus 2-0 Torino
Saturday, October 7 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: AC Milan 1-0 Juventus

Without a couple of key players due to suspension, Milan may be considered vulnerable going into Sunday's late kickoff. Nevertheless, the Rossoneri still possess an attacking trident that can pierce Juve's watertight defence. One goal could decide a tight contest: in eight of the last 11 Serie A meetings between these teams at San Siro, at least one has failed to score. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Juventus
48.58% ( -0.61)	25.33% ( -0.08)	26.09% ( 0.69)

Both teams to score 51.82% (

0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.8% (

0.82)

51.2% (

-0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.96% (

0.71)

73.04% (

-0.71)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.91% (

0.07)

21.09% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.08% (

0.11)

53.91% (

-0.11)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.67% (

1.02)

34.32% (

-1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.97% (

1.08)

71.03% (

-1.08)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 48.57%

Juventus 26.09%

Draw 25.32%

AC Milan	Draw	Juventus
1-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.49% Total : 48.57%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.32%	0-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.21% Total : 26.09%