Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 16

Dec 17, 2023 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
3 - 0
Monza

Reijnders (3'), Simic (41'), Okafor (76')
Reijnders (34')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Carboni (55'), Gagliardini (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Newcastle 1-2 AC Milan
Wednesday, December 13 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Monza 1-0 Genoa
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Milan are the only team yet to draw a home match in Serie A this season, but that streak may come to an end on Sunday afternoon. A hangover from their Champions League exploits is a distinct possibility, while Monza are no pushovers and will be motivated by meeting their illustrious regional rivals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 22.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Monza win it was 1-2 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Monza
55.06% ( 2.18)	22.59% ( -0.95)	22.34% ( -1.23)

Both teams to score 56.51% (

1.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.97% (

2.88)

43.03% (

-2.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.57% (

2.79)

65.43% (

-2.79)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.47% (

1.8)

15.52% (

-1.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.56% (

3.25)

44.44% (

-3.26)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.9% (

0.5)

33.1% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.3% (

0.54)

69.7% (

-0.54)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 55.06%

Monza 22.34%

Draw 22.59%

AC Milan	Draw	Monza
2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.63) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.42) 3-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.35) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.29) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.21) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.19) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.65% Total : 55.06%	1-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.54) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.68) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.59%	1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.67) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.35% Total : 22.34%