Buoyed by their impressive victory over Damac, Al-Ahli will head into Monday's game looking to dent Al-Hilal's title charge. However, Jesus's men boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we fancy them to come away with all three points once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 53.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 22.68%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for an Al-Ahli win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-Ahli	Draw	Al-Hilal
22.68% ( -0.36)	24.14% ( 0.54)	53.17% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 51.94% (

-2.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.69% (

-2.64)

49.31% (

2.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.63% (

-2.42)

71.36% (

2.41)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.72% (

-1.8)

36.28% (

1.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.93% (

-1.87)

73.06% (

1.86)

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.51% (

-1.06)

18.48% (

1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.3% (

-1.81)

49.69% (

1.8)

Score Analysis

Al-Ahli 22.68%

Al-Hilal 53.17%

Draw 24.13%

Al-Ahli	Draw	Al-Hilal
1-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.83% Total : 22.68%	1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.69) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.13%	0-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.82) 1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.38) 1-3 @ 5.45% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 5.38% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.26) 1-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.18) 0-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.27% Total : 53.17%