Al Ittihad were officially eliminated from the title race last week and they now have to ensure that they can at least salvage a spot in the top four. Fortunately for the outgoing champions, they have performed well at home recently, particularly in attack which has helped them to a four-match winning streak, and we feel they will be able to edge Al-Taawoun to a narrow victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Al-Taawoun had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Al-Taawoun win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Al Ittihad	Draw	Al-Taawoun
45.48% ( 0.05)	23.15% ( 0.22)	31.36% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 62.92% (

-0.94)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.72% (

-1.18)

38.27% (

1.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.44% (

-1.26)

60.55% (

1.26)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.77% (

-0.44)

17.23% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.47% (

-0.78)

47.52% (

0.78)

Al-Taawoun Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.01% (

-0.73)

23.99% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.76% (

-1.05)

58.23% (

1.05)

Score Analysis

Al Ittihad 45.48%

Al-Taawoun 31.36%

Draw 23.15%

Al Ittihad	Draw	Al-Taawoun
2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 4.11% Total : 45.48%	1-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.23) 3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.15%	1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.86% Total : 31.36%