Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Chile's players will be keen to make a positive impression under new boss Gareca as they bid to avoid going four games without a win or a goal. However, Albania looked strong towards the end of 2023 and we believe that they may do just enough to come out on top on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Chile had a probability of 16.62%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.72%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Albania	Draw	Chile
57.97% ( -0.05)	25.41% ( 0.03)	16.62% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 39.57% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.1% (

-0.06)

60.9% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.08% (

-0.05)

80.92% (

0.05)

Albania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.88% (

-0.04)

21.12% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.03% (

-0.07)

53.97% (

0.08)

Chile Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.17% (

-0.01)

49.83% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.46% (

-0.01)

84.54% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Albania 57.97%

Chile 16.62%

Draw 25.4%

Albania	Draw	Chile
1-0 @ 16.36% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 12.72% 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 57.97%	1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.4% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.97% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0) 1-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.84% Total : 16.62%