La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 36

May 16, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos

Almeria
0 - 2
Barcelona

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lopez (14', 67')
Roque (85')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Betis 3-2 Almeria
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 2-0 Real Sociedad
Monday, May 13 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Almeria 1-3 Barcelona

Having scored in each of their last five matches, Almeria may fancy their chances of breaching Barcelona's backline in Thursday's contest. However, even if the hosts get on the scoresheet, we still expect the visitors to create enough opportunities to claim a routine win over the league's basement side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 52.48%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 24.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.71%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Almeria win was 2-1 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Barcelona
24.17% ( -0.07)	23.35% ( -0.03)	52.48% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 56.24% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.54% (

0.1)

44.46% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.17% (

0.09)

66.82% (

-0.1)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.71%

32.29% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.21%

68.79% (

-0)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.06% (

0.07)

16.94% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.98% (

0.13)

47.01% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Almeria 24.17%

Barcelona 52.48%

Draw 23.34%

Almeria	Draw	Barcelona
2-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 24.17%	1-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.34%	1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.62% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.77% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 52.48%