Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 8

Oct 8, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
1 - 0
Man City

Martinelli (86')
Jorginho (11'), Jesus (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Silva (23'), Kovacic (29'), Ederson (90+3')

Pep Guardiola: 'Manchester City will come back stronger from Arsenal defeat'

Pep Guardiola believes that his Manchester City side "will come back stronger" after they suffered a 1-0 defeat away against Arsenal in the Premier League on Sunday.

Oct 8, 20:58

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta pictured on October 8, 2023

Mikel Arteta lifts lid on Gabriel Martinelli conversation after Man City triumph

Mikel Arteta reveals how Gabriel Martinelli defied club doctors to recover from a hamstring injury and score the winner in Arsenal's 1-0 victory over Manchester City.

Oct 8, 22:02

Arsenal goalkeeper David Raya pictured on September 17, 2023

"It's my fault" - Mikel Arteta takes blame for David Raya blunders

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta takes the blame for David Raya's distribution errors in Sunday's 1-0 Premier League win over Manchester City.

Oct 9, 09:29

Manchester City's Mateo Kovacic, Phil Foden and Erling Braut Haaland with Arsenal's Declan Rice on October 8, 2023

Howard Webb: 'Mateo Kovacic extremely lucky to avoid red card against Arsenal'

PGMOL director Howard Webb admits that Mateo Kovacic was "extremely fortunate" to avoid a red card in Manchester City's 1-0 defeat to Arsenal last weekend.

Oct 11, 12:36

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Lens 2-1 Arsenal
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Manchester City

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-3 Man City
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.75%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	Manchester City
36.24% ( -0.89)	24.38% ( 0.29)	39.38% ( 0.6)

Both teams to score 59.97% (

-1.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.22% (

-1.44)

42.78% (

1.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.82% (

-1.45)

65.18% (

1.45)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.64% (

-1.12)

23.36% (

1.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.67% (

-1.65)

57.33% (

1.65)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.25% (

-0.34)

21.75% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.06% (

-0.52)

54.93% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

Arsenal 36.24%

Manchester City 39.38%

Draw 24.38%

Arsenal	Draw	Manchester City
2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.18% Total : 36.24%	1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.38%	1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.41) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.54% Total : 39.38%