Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26

Mar 17, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade Louis II.

Monaco
2 - 2
Lorient

Mendy (27' og.), Fofana (60')
Minamino (54'), Zakaria (62')
Zakaria (81')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Singo (1' og.), Bakayoko (90+5')
Mendy (71')
Aiyegun (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Strasbourg 0-1 Monaco
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lorient

All competitions

Last Game: Lorient 0-2 Lyon
Saturday, March 9 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Both sides will be desperate to get a result in this game as they find themselves in their own respective fights at opposing ends of the table. Four of the last six matches between these teams have ended as draws, with each side taking one win apiece in the remaining two. We expect this game to follow the trend of recent tight affairs and equal results and end all square after 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 61.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 18.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Lorient
61.14% ( 0.06)	20.76% ( -0.1)	18.1% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 55.79% (

0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.32% (

0.56)

40.68% (

-0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.94% (

0.57)

63.06% (

-0.57)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.15% (

0.19)

12.84% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.79% (

0.39)

39.2% (

-0.39)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.01% (

0.38)

35.99% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.23% (

0.39)

72.77% (

-0.39)

Score Analysis

Monaco 61.14%

Lorient 18.1%

Draw 20.76%

Monaco	Draw	Lorient
2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.5% Total : 61.14%	1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.76%	1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 18.1%