La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 22

Jan 27, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys

Barcelona
3 - 5
Villarreal

Gundogan (60'), Pedri (68'), Bailly (71' og.)
Romeu (33'), Lewandowski (68'), Xavi (70'), Araujo (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Moreno (41'), Akhomach (54'), Guedes (84'), Sorloth (90+9'), Luis Morales (90+12')
Baena (16'), Marcelino (17'), Bailly (68'), Mosquera (89'), Cuenca (90+4')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 4-2 Barcelona
Wednesday, January 24 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Villarreal 1-1 Mallorca
Saturday, January 20 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Barcelona 3-1 Villarreal

This has the potential to be a tricky match for Barcelona despite Villarreal's troubles. Both teams will be missing a number of important players, which makes it an intriguing contest, but we are expecting the reigning La Liga champions to have enough quality to secure all three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 61.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 18.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 1-0 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Villarreal win it was 1-2 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Villarreal
61.97% ( 0.01)	19.59% ( -0.01)	18.45% ( -0)

Both teams to score 60.76% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.49% (

0.04)

34.52% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.55% (

0.04)

56.45% (

-0.04)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.25% (

0.02)

10.75% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.27% (

0.03)

34.73% (

-0.03)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.08% (

0.02)

31.93% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.63% (

0.02)

68.38% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Barcelona 61.97%

Villarreal 18.45%

Draw 19.59%

Barcelona	Draw	Villarreal
2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.25% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.35% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.04% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.54% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.31% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.8% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 4.01% Total : 61.97%	1-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 19.59%	1-2 @ 4.99% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.92% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.24% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 18.45%