Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 83.74%. A draw had a probability of 10.5% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 5.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 4-0 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.72%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (1.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Hoffenheim |
83.74% | 10.48% ( 0) | 5.77% |
Both teams to score 51.65% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.5% ( -0) | 24.5% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
55.74% ( -0) | 44.26% ( 0.01) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.83% ( 0) | 4.16% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.6% ( -0) | 17.39% ( 0) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.89% ( 0) | 46.1% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.19% | 81.8% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Hoffenheim |
3-0 @ 10.27% 2-0 @ 9.7% ( 0) 4-0 @ 8.17% 3-1 @ 7.96% 2-1 @ 7.51% ( 0) 4-1 @ 6.32% 1-0 @ 6.1% ( 0) 5-0 @ 5.19% 5-1 @ 4.02% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.08% 6-0 @ 2.75% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.45% 6-1 @ 2.13% 5-2 @ 1.56% 7-0 @ 1.25% 7-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 4.31% Total : 83.74% | 1-1 @ 4.72% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.91% 0-0 @ 1.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 10.48% | 1-2 @ 1.83% 0-1 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.46% Total : 5.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |