Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 3

Sep 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
5 - 1
SV Darmstadt 98

Okoh Boniface (21', 61'), Palacios (49'), Hofmann (67'), Hlozek (83')
Tah (24'), Palacios (26'), Xhaka (31')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Vilhelmsson (24')
Vilhelmsson (53'), Klarer (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and SV Darmstadt 98, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 0-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, August 26 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

SV Darmstadt 98

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 1-4 Union Berlin
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 4-0 SV Darmstadt 98

Despite losing Diaby, Leverkusen have scored six goals across their opening two victories, and they will fancy their chances of reaching double figures in the goals-scored column this weekend. Darmstadt conceded four goals at home to Union Berlin despite having an extra player for the majority of the match, so they are seriously up against it to avoid receiving a beating from Alonso's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	SV Darmstadt 98
44.76% ( -0.18)	25.81% ( 0.02)	29.43% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 52.72% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.84% (

-0)

51.17% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.99% (

-0)

73.01% (

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.21% (

-0.09)

22.79% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.5% (

-0.13)

56.5% (

0.13)

SV Darmstadt 98 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.29% (

0.12)

31.71% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.87% (

0.14)

68.14% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 44.76%

SV Darmstadt 98 29.43%

Draw 25.8%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	SV Darmstadt 98
1-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 44.76%	1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.8%	0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 29.43%