Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 7

Oct 8, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
3 - 0
Freiburg

Coman (12', 85'), Sane (25')
Mazraoui (16')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Copenhagen 1-2 Bayern
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 1-2 West Ham
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bayern Munich 3-0 Freiburg

While Freiburg still possess plenty of talent in attacking areas, their defensive and midfield areas are undoubtedly weakened by injuries and Hofler's suspension at present, meaning we do not give them much hope of shutting Bayern out. The Bavarians have gone up a gear in attack as a result of signing England striker Kane from Tottenham Hotspur during the summer, and they should have more than enough about them to secure a comfortable win on Sunday, particularly with two days' greater rest in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 62.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 1-0 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Freiburg
62.31% ( -0.01)	19.72% ( 0.32)	17.97% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 59.27% (

-1.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.99% (

-2.09)

36.01% (

2.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.89% (

-2.33)

58.1% (

2.33)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.9% (

-0.61)

11.1% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.49% (

-1.37)

35.51% (

1.37)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.68% (

-1.59)

33.32% (

1.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.06% (

-1.78)

69.94% (

1.78)

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 62.31%

Freiburg 17.97%

Draw 19.72%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Freiburg
2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.48) 1-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.63) 3-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.19) 5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.72% Total : 62.31%	1-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.37) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.24% Total : 19.72%	1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.98% Total : 17.97%