Lyon ought to chalk up their loss to Le Havre to their loss of discipline, and Sage's side have otherwise been impenetrable over the Christmas and New Year period - a resilient streak which should recommence on Friday. The five-time winners will be squaring up to fearless opponents who know what it takes to spring a surprise in the Coupe de France, but we cannot envisage such a giant killing this week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 70.51%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Bergerac Perigord had a probability of 11.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.31%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Bergerac Perigord win it was 1-0 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Bergerac Perigord	Draw	Lyon
11.77% ( 0)	17.72% ( -0)	70.51% ( -0)

Both teams to score 50.01% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.82% (

0.01)

40.18% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.45% (

0.01)

62.54% (

-0.01)

Bergerac Perigord Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.68% (

0.01)

44.31% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.62% (

0.01)

80.38% (

-0.01)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.8% (

10.19% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.53% (

33.47% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Bergerac Perigord 11.77%

Lyon 70.5%

Draw 17.72%

Bergerac Perigord	Draw	Lyon
1-0 @ 3.68% 2-1 @ 3.42% ( 0) 2-0 @ 1.5% 3-2 @ 1.06% ( 0) 3-1 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.2% Total : 11.77%	1-1 @ 8.4% 0-0 @ 4.52% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 17.72%	0-2 @ 11.77% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 10.31% 1-2 @ 9.58% 0-3 @ 8.96% ( -0) 1-3 @ 7.3% ( 0) 0-4 @ 5.12% 1-4 @ 4.16% 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0) 0-5 @ 2.34% 1-5 @ 1.9% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 4.39% Total : 70.5%