Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 12

Nov 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Signal-Iduna-Park

Dortmund
4 - 2
Borussia M'bach

Sabitzer (30'), Fullkrug (32'), Bynoe-Gittens (45'), Malen (90+7')
Brandt (80')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Reitz (13'), Kone (28')
Weigl (54'), Kone (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 Dortmund
Saturday, November 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 4-0 Wolfsburg
Friday, November 10 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

Gladbach have been very kind opponents for Dortmund in recent years, as the hosts have won the last 10 meetings here, and the Foals have not shown enough this season to suggest they can end that run. Both sides have shown goalscoring form of late, and goals have been commonplace in this fixture too, as Dortmund have scored 49 in their last 15 home clashes with Gladbach, and the last three head-to-heads have produced 19 goals, with BVB winning the last two here by 6-0 and 5-2 scorelines. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 59.44%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 21.77% and a draw had a probability of 18.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (5.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
59.44% ( -0.02)	18.79% ( 0.01)	21.77% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 69.94% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.66% (

25.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.64% (

0.01)

45.35% (

-0)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.34% (

-0)

8.65% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.17% (

-0.01)

29.82% (

0.01)

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.56% (

0.02)

23.43% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.56% (

0.02)

57.43% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 59.44%

Borussia Monchengladbach 21.77%

Draw 18.79%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.19% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.07% ( -0) 3-2 @ 5.22% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.96% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.95% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.4% ( -0) 4-2 @ 3.19% 4-0 @ 3.03% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.15% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.56% 4-3 @ 1.54% 5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 4.88% Total : 59.44%	1-1 @ 7.2% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.52% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.03% Other @ 0.65% Total : 18.79%	1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.94% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.13% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 21.77%