Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 29

Apr 13, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK

Borussia M'bach
1 - 2
Dortmund

Wober (36')
Itakura (84')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Sabitzer (22', 28' pen.)
Maatsen (14'), Adeyemi (45+4'), Nmecha (90+4')
Adeyemi (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-3 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, April 7 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Dortmund
Wednesday, April 10 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 2-3 Borussia Dortmund

While Dortmund will have one eye on their midweek fixture against Atletico Madrid, they cannot afford to give up any more points in the league, with a spot in next season's Champions League still hanging in the balance. Each of the last four matches between these sides have ended with six goals scored, and we are expecting another high-scoring affair here, though we feel that the visitors will be the ones to come out on top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.72%) and 2-0 (5.14%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Monchengladbach	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
41.8% ( 0.14)	22.41% ( -0.03)	35.79% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 67.41% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.93% (

0.14)

33.06% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.2% (

0.16)

54.8% (

-0.16)

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.41% (

0.11)

16.59% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.61% (

0.2)

46.39% (

-0.2)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.81% (

0.01)

19.18% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.14% (

0.02)

50.86% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Borussia Monchengladbach 41.8%

Borussia Dortmund 35.79%

Draw 22.41%

Borussia Monchengladbach	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.14% 3-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.54% Total : 41.8%	1-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 7% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.41%	1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.85% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.59% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.79%