DFB-Pokal | Round of 16

Dec 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK

Borussia M'bach
1 - 0
Wolfsburg

Kone (120')

FT
(aet)

Arnold (31'), Gerhardt (41')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 2-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, December 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wolfsburg

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, December 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We say: Borussia Monchengladbach X-Y Wolfsburg

Gladbach have already beaten Wolfsburg at Borussia-Park this month, and we think that the hosts will make full use of home advantage again to edge out die Wolfe and secure their place in the last 16 of the Pokal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.07%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.

Result
Borussia Monchengladbach	Draw	Wolfsburg
44.77% ( 0.81)	22.34% ( -0.19)	32.88% ( -0.63)

Both teams to score 66.72% (

0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.4% (

0.72)

33.59% (

-0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.6% (

0.82)

55.4% (

-0.82)

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.33% (

0.59)

15.67% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.3% (

1.08)

44.7% (

-1.08)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.11% (

0.01)

20.89% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.4% (

0.02)

53.6% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Borussia Monchengladbach 44.77%

Wolfsburg 32.88%

Draw 22.34%

Borussia Monchengladbach	Draw	Wolfsburg
2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.07) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.04% Total : 44.77%	1-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.34%	1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.8% Total : 32.88%