Serie B | Gameweek 11

Oct 29, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Stadio Mario Rigamonti

Brescia
1 - 2
Bari

Moncini (11' pen.)
Bjarnason (57'), Galazzi (74'), Olzer (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Diaw (58'), Vicari (76')
Di Cesare (9'), Sibilli (23'), Koutsoupias (85')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Brescia and Bari.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brescia

All competitions

Last Game: Brescia 0-1 Modena
Tuesday, October 24 at 5.30pm in Serie B

Top scorers

Bari

All competitions

Last Game: Bari 1-1 Modena
Saturday, October 21 at 1pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Brescia win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.

Result
Brescia	Draw	Bari
31.14% ( 0.03)	29.13% ( 0.03)	39.74% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 43.88% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.27% (

-0.07)

62.73% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.73% (

-0.05)

82.27% (

0.06)

Brescia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.44% (

-0.02)

36.56% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.65% (

-0.02)

73.34% (

0.02)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.17% (

-0.07)

30.83% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.89% (

-0.08)

67.1% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Brescia 31.14%

Bari 39.73%

Draw 29.12%

Brescia	Draw	Bari
1-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.72% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 31.14%	1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 11.27% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.12%	0-1 @ 13.26% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 39.73%