Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6

Sep 23, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Ble

Brest
1 - 0
Lyon

Mounie (87')
Lees-Melou (31'), Camara (64'), Brassier (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nuamah (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions

Last Game: Reims 1-2 Brest
Sunday, September 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 0-0 Le Havre
Sunday, September 17 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Following a dismal start to the season, Lyon will be desperate to benefit from a new manager bounce under Grosso, but Brest will have other ideas as they bid to continue their ascent of the Ligue 1 table. Given that Brest have lost only one of their five matches this term - picking up three wins and one draw in the process - we expect the in-form Pirates to heap more misery on Les Gones. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 44%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
Brest	Draw	Lyon
29.66% ( 0.48)	26.33% ( 0)	44% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 51.23% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.84% (

0.21)

53.16% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.27% (

0.18)

74.73% (

-0.18)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.43% (

0.47)

32.57% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.89% (

0.52)

69.11% (

-0.52)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.98% (

-0.14)

24.02% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.72% (

-0.2)

58.28% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Brest 29.66%

Lyon 44%

Draw 26.33%

Brest	Draw	Lyon
1-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.61% Total : 29.66%	1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.33%	0-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.69% Total : 44%