Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8

Oct 8, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Ble

Brest
1 - 1
Toulouse

Satriano (90+2')
Camara (45+5'), Brassier (70')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Magri (27')
Spierings (10'), Magri (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions

Last Game: Nice 0-0 Brest
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Toulouse 1-0 LASK
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brest have made a very promising start to the season, currently sitting five points clear of Toulouse in the Ligue 1 table. However, the visitors have had some very tough games at the start of the season, and we think the two sides are evenly-matched, so Sunday's game could finish as a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Brest	Draw	Toulouse
41.79% ( 0.54)	26.15% ( 0.04)	32.06% ( -0.58)

Both teams to score 52.85% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.44% (

-0.32)

51.55% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.65% (

-0.28)

73.35% (

0.28)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.58% (

0.13)

24.42% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.16% (

0.19)

58.84% (

-0.19)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.93% (

-0.55)

30.07% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.79% (

-0.66)

66.2% (

0.66)

Score Analysis

Brest 41.78%

Toulouse 32.06%

Draw 26.15%

Brest	Draw	Toulouse
1-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.68% Total : 41.78%	1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.15%	0-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.24% Total : 32.06%