Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 11

Nov 5, 2023 at 2pm UK

Sardegna Arena

Cagliari
2 - 1
Genoa

Viola (48'), Zappa (69')
Goldaniga (71'), Scuffet (90+7'), Petagna (90+1'), Viola (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gudmundsson (51')
Malinovskyi (28'), Gudmundsson (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Udinese 1-2 Cagliari
Wednesday, November 1 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Genoa

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Genoa 2-1 Reggiana
Wednesday, November 1 at 2pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cagliari seemingly cannot defend, while Genoa rarely score away from home; yet Sunday's game could see either side throw everything at gaining another three points. Emboldened by back-to-back wins, both teams are set to find the net in an open score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Genoa
45.03% ( -0.01)	25.98% ( -0.01)	28.99% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 51.93% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.93% (

0.06)

52.07% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.2% (

0.05)

73.8% (

-0.05)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.94% (

0.02)

23.06% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.12% (

0.03)

56.88% (

-0.02)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.49% (

0.05)

32.51% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.96% (

0.06)

69.04% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Cagliari 45.02%

Genoa 28.99%

Draw 25.97%

Cagliari	Draw	Genoa
1-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 45.02%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.97%	0-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 28.99%