Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37

May 27, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Gabriel Montpied

Clermont
2 - 0
Lorient

Khaoui (44'), Caufriez (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Clermont and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Clermont

All competitions

Last Game: Brest 2-1 Clermont
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lorient

All competitions

Last Game: Lorient 1-3 Lens
Sunday, May 21 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lorient have netted in five straight away games — including a 3-1 victory over table-topping Paris Saint-Germain — although they are expected to fall short against a Clermont side seeking their fifth win on the trot at the Stade Gabriel-Montpied. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.

Result
Clermont	Draw	Lorient
46.5% ( 0.01)	24.88% ( -0)	28.61% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55.2% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.31% (

-0.01)

47.68% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.12% (

-0.01)

69.88% (

0.01)

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.44% (

-0)

20.55% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.92% (

-0)

53.07% (

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.49% (

-0.02)

30.51% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.27% (

-0.02)

66.73% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Clermont 46.5%

Lorient 28.61%

Draw 24.87%

Clermont	Draw	Lorient
1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.85% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.91% 3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.71% Total : 46.5%	1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.87%	0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 28.61%