Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29

Apr 14, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade Gabriel Montpied

Clermont
1 - 1
Montpellier

Cham (45+5' pen.)
Matsima (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coulibaly (56')
Coulibaly (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Clermont and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Clermont

All competitions

Last Game: PSG 1-1 Clermont
Saturday, April 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Montpellier 2-0 Lorient
Sunday, April 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Clermont 0-1 Montpellier HSC

Despite being undefeated in two home games against Montpellier in Ligue 1, the away side should take advantage of Clermont's dearth of goals and nick a marginal victory over the league's bottom club. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Clermont win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Clermont	Draw	Montpellier HSC
28.14% ( 0.58)	24.21% ( 0.14)	47.65% ( -0.72)

Both teams to score 57.11% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.97% (

-0.21)

45.03% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.62% (

-0.2)

67.38% (

0.2)

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.51% (

0.31)

29.49% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.5% (

0.38)

65.5% (

-0.38)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.99% (

-0.37)

19.01% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.43% (

-0.62)

50.57% (

0.62)

Score Analysis

Clermont 28.14%

Montpellier HSC 47.65%

Draw 24.2%

Clermont	Draw	Montpellier HSC
2-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.31% Total : 28.14%	1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.2%	1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 5.22% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.24% Total : 47.65%