UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg

Apr 11, 2024 at 8pm UK

Jan Breydelstadion

Brugge
1 - 0
PAOK

(Club Brugge win 3-0 on aggregate)

Vetlesen (6')
Thiago (25'), De Cuyper (84'), Brandon (90'), Skoras (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Samatta (50'), Mechele (89')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Club Brugge and PAOK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Brugge

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Brugge 3-1 Anderlecht
Sunday, April 7 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

PAOK

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: AEK Athens 2-2 PAOK
Sunday, April 7 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Top scorers

We are expecting a tight clash between Club Brugge and PAOK, with both sides not wanting to lose any significant ground before the second leg next week. Brugge are not in the best moment following the change of management last month, but we feel that the hosts should be good enough for a draw on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 53.63%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 23.38% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest PAOK win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.

Result
Club Brugge	Draw	PAOK
53.63% ( -0.02)	23% ( 0.01)	23.38% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 56.49% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.31% (

-0.02)

43.69% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.92% (

-0.02)

66.08% (

0.03)

Club Brugge Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.75% (

-0.02)

16.25% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.22% (

-0.03)

45.78% (

0.04)

PAOK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.45%

32.55% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.92%

69.09% (

Score Analysis

Club Brugge 53.63%

PAOK 23.38%

Draw 22.99%

Club Brugge	Draw	PAOK
2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.73% 3-1 @ 5.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.29% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.4% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 53.63%	1-1 @ 10.78% 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.99%	1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.33% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 23.38%