Copa del Rey | First Round

Nov 2, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio de La Condomina

Deportivo Murcia
0 - 10
Alaves

FT(HT: 0-3)

Rebbach (7', 38'), Karrika (89', 68', 75'), Duarte (13'), Alkain (52', 60'), Hagi (63', 80')
Blanco (24'), Marin (30'), Tenaglia (57')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Deportivo Murcia and Alaves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Alaves
Sunday, October 29 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 96.18%. A draw had a probability of 3.3% and a win for Deportivo Murcia had a probability of 0.54%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 0-3 with a probability of 16.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (15.87%) and 0-2 (12.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (1.65%), while for a Deportivo Murcia win it was 1-0 (0.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-10 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.

Result
Deportivo Murcia	Draw	Alaves
0.54% ( 0.01)	3.27% ( -0.02)	96.18% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 18.27% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

77.67% (

0.29)

22.33% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

58.65% (

0.39)

41.35% (

-0.39)

Deportivo Murcia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

18.64% (

0.36)

81.36% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

1.85% (

0.07)

98.14% (

-0.07)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.97% (

0.04)

2.03% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

90.06% (

0.13)

9.94% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Deportivo Murcia 0.54%

Alaves 96.18%

Draw 3.27%

Deportivo Murcia	Draw	Alaves
Other @ 0.54% Total : 0.54%	0-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.03) 1-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 3.27%	0-3 @ 16.29% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 15.87% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 12.54% ( -0.15) 0-5 @ 12.37% ( 0.01) 0-6 @ 8.04% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.11) 0-7 @ 4.47% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 3.28% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 2.55% ( 0.05) 0-8 @ 2.18% ( 0.03) 1-6 @ 1.66% ( 0.04) 0-9 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) 1-7 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.68% Total : 96.18%