Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

Jun 3, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
0 - 2
Lazio

Akpa-Akpro (14'), Cambiaghi (37')
Cambiaghi (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Romagnoli (48'), Alberto (90+2')
Milinkovic-Savic (40'), Vecino (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, May 28 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lazio

All competitions

Last Game: Lazio 3-2 Cremonese
Sunday, May 28 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lazio have only lost four times on the road this term, so there is every chance of the Aquile soaring to victory in Empoli - which is no mean feat, given the hosts' recent results there: Sarri's side can score from several sources and also boast the second-best defensive record in Serie A. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Lazio
28.04% ( 2.02)	26.71% ( 1.08)	45.25% ( -3.1)

Both teams to score 49.15% (

-1.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.61% (

-2.94)

55.39% (

2.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.41% (

-2.47)

76.59% (

2.47)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.01% (

0.06)

34.99% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.27% (

0.06)

71.73% (

-0.06)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.6% (

-2.69)

24.4% (

2.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.18% (

-3.95)

58.81% (

3.95)

Score Analysis

Empoli 28.04%

Lazio 45.24%

Draw 26.71%

Empoli	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.99) 2-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.53) 3-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.12% Total : 28.04%	1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.46) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.93) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.71%	0-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( -0.39) 0-2 @ 8.49% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.55) 0-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.53) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.28) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.33) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.32) Other @ 2.51% Total : 45.24%