Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 13

Nov 26, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
3 - 4
Sassuolo

Caputo (4' pen.), Fazzini (30'), Vina (86' og.)
Fazzini (24'), Maleh (31'), Gyasi (90'), Grassi (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Pinamonti (12'), Henrique (22'), Berardi (66' pen., 90+2')
Henrique (37'), Berardi (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Napoli 0-1 Empoli
Sunday, November 12 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sassuolo

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Sassuolo 2-2 Salernitana
Friday, November 10 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

In the brief history of these two clubs' Serie A encounters, they have never played out a single draw: 12 previous matches have brought seven wins for Sassuolo and five for Empoli. However, given both teams' limitations at the moment, they may have to settle for one point apiece on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Empoli win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Sassuolo
30.52% ( 0.49)	23.44% ( -0.49)	46.04% ( 0)

Both teams to score 61.39% (

2.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.91% (

2.56)

40.08% (

-2.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.54% (

2.6)

62.45% (

-2.6)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.6% (

1.58)

25.39% (

-1.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.8% (

2.12)

60.2% (

-2.13)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.28% (

1.01)

17.71% (

-1.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.62% (

1.72)

48.37% (

-1.72)

Score Analysis

Empoli 30.52%

Sassuolo 46.04%

Draw 23.44%

Empoli	Draw	Sassuolo
2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.45) 2-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.52%	1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.55) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.44%	1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.68) 0-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 5.33% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.25) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.85% Total : 46.04%