Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 12

Nov 12, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
2 - 1
Bologna

Bonaventura (17'), Gonzalez (48' pen.)
Bonaventura (45+2'), Ranieri (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Zirkzee (33' pen.)
Saelemaekers (36'), Motta (40'), Aebischer (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Cukaricki 0-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Lazio
Friday, November 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Bologna

Despite Bologna's keenness to secure their first away points of 23-24 to push them into fifth place, both sides may have to make do with sharing the spoils in Florence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 64.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 15.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Bologna
64.91% ( -0.01)	19.54% ( 0.02)	15.54% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 54.4% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.19% (

-0.14)

39.81% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.83% (

-0.14)

62.16% (

0.13)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.46% (

-0.05)

11.53% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.55% (

-0.09)

36.44% (

0.09)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.49% (

-0.1)

38.51% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.74% (

-0.1)

75.26% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 64.91%

Bologna 15.54%

Draw 19.54%

Fiorentina	Draw	Bologna
2-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.03% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.74% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.99% Total : 64.91%	1-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.54%	1-2 @ 4.37% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.02% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 15.54%