UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Group Stage

Oct 5, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
2 - 2
Ferencvaros

Barak (66'), Ikone (90+3')
Gonzalez (86'), Italiano (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Varga (25'), I (50')
Siger (23'), Mmaee (55'), Varga (57'), Ali Ben Romdhane (66'), Dibusz (70')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Fiorentina and Ferencvaros, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Fiorentina 3-0 Cagliari
Monday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Ferencvaros

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: MTK 1-6 Ferencvaros
Saturday, September 30 at 4pm in Hungarian NB I

Goals
for

We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Ferencvaros

Ferencvaros have built plenty of European pedigree and credibility across recent seasons and they will have no fear when arriving in Florence, and we can envisage them pushing the hosts hard on Thursday. However, Fiorentina have been in decent form this season and they will be determined to move onto four points from two matches after drawing their opening match in this competition, and we expect them to do so in narrow fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Ferencvaros win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Ferencvaros
48.61% ( 0.01)	23.89% ( -0)	27.5% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 57.66% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.93% (

-0.02)

44.07% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.55% (

-0.02)

66.45% (

0.02)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.74% (

-0)

18.25% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.7% (

-0)

49.3% (

Ferencvaros Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.54% (

-0.02)

29.46% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.53% (

-0.03)

65.47% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 48.61%

Ferencvaros 27.5%

Draw 23.89%

Fiorentina	Draw	Ferencvaros
2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.39% 3-0 @ 4.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 3.52% Total : 48.61%	1-1 @ 11.17% 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.89%	1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.57% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0) Other @ 3.3% Total : 27.5%