Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 33

May 11, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
1 - 1
Heidenheim

Doan (29')
Grifo (64')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sessa (38')
Sessa (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Last Game: FC Koln 0-0 Freiburg
Saturday, May 4 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Heidenheim

All competitions

Last Game: Heidenheim 1-1 Mainz
Sunday, May 5 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Freiburg 1-1 Heidenheim

While Heidenheim could overtake Freiburg with a win this weekend, the spoils could be shared at the Europa-Park-Stadion, with Schmidt's men continuing a decent road run that has seen them lose once in nine away games. Five of those nine matches have been tied, and another draw could be in the offing on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.01%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Heidenheim
43.72% ( 0.05)	23.22% ( -0.01)	33.06% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 63.46% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.11% (

0.03)

37.88% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.86% (

0.03)

60.14% (

-0.03)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.23% (

0.03)

17.77% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.53% (

0.06)

48.47% (

-0.06)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.18% (

-0.01)

22.82% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.46% (

-0.02)

56.54% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 43.72%

Heidenheim 33.06%

Draw 23.22%

Freiburg	Draw	Heidenheim
2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.01% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.05% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.8% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 3.91% Total : 43.72%	1-1 @ 10.35% 2-2 @ 6.61% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.22%	1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.25% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.2% Total : 33.06%