Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 6

Sep 28, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Benito Stirpe

Frosinone
1 - 1
Fiorentina

Soule (70')
Mazzitelli (51'), Okoli (64'), Oyono (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gonzalez (19')
Milenkovic (22'), Parisi (69'), Mandragora (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Frosinone and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Frosinone

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Salernitana 1-1 Frosinone
Friday, September 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Udinese 0-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Frosinone 2-2 Fiorentina

Frosinone have averaged over two goals per game on home turf this term, so should be expected to score at least once against a hit-and-miss Fiorentina side being tested by an intense schedule. Amid a run of six games in 17 days, the Viola may slip up at Stadio Stirpe, where their hosts have proved impressive so far. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Frosinone	Draw	Fiorentina
27.11% ( 0.44)	24.96% ( 0.43)	47.94% ( -0.87)

Both teams to score 53.85% (

-1.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.05% (

-1.5)

48.95% (

1.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.96% (

-1.37)

71.04% (

1.37)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.69% (

-0.45)

32.31% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.19% (

-0.51)

68.81% (

0.51)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.55% (

-0.96)

20.45% (

0.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.09% (

-1.54)

52.91% (

1.54)

Score Analysis

Frosinone 27.11%

Fiorentina 47.93%

Draw 24.95%

Frosinone	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.62% Total : 27.11%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.95%	0-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.71% Total : 47.93%