Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 24, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Rams Global Stadium

Galatasaray
1 - 3
Bayern

Icardi (30' pen.)
Tete (53'), Ayhan (62')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Coman (8'), Kane (73'), Musiala (79')
Sane (14'), Laimer (32'), Davies (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Galatasaray and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Galatasaray

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Besiktas
Saturday, October 21 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Mainz 1-3 Bayern
Saturday, October 21 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Galatasaray 2-3 Bayern Munich

A ravaged Bayern backline should be there for the taking for an in-form Galatasaray crop, who have scored multiple goals in 11 of their last 12 fixtures and can play with the handbrake off against Tuchel's charges. However, Buruk's defence may not have the answers to an onslaught or two from the visitors' own attacking stars, and while we expect a captivating affair with the net rippling a few times, we place our faith in Bayern to emerge victorious yet again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 2-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Galatasaray	Draw	Bayern Munich
28.69% ( 0.04)	22.83% ( 0)	48.47% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 62.37% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.73% (

38.26% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.45% (

60.54% (

-0.01)

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.34% (

0.03)

25.65% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.44% (

0.03)

60.55% (

-0.04)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.9% (

-0.02)

16.1% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.49% (

-0.03)

45.5% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Galatasaray 28.69%

Bayern Munich 48.47%

Draw 22.83%

Galatasaray	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.62% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.82% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 28.69%	1-1 @ 10.26% 2-2 @ 6.38% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.83%	1-2 @ 9.37% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.54% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.71% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.88% 1-4 @ 2.61% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.92% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.77% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 3.65% Total : 48.47%