La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 28

Mar 9, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes

Granada
2 - 3
Real Sociedad

Uzuni (21' pen., 45+3')
Ruiz (45+1')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Sadiq (33'), Le Normand (80'), Silva (85')
Traore (23'), Sadiq (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Granada and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Granada

All competitions

Last Game: Villarreal 5-1 Granada
Sunday, March 3 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Sociedad

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-2 PSG
Tuesday, March 5 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Granada 1-2 Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad are in desperate need of a win due to their recent run of defeats, and we are backing them to edge a close game on Saturday. Granada conceded five to Villarreal last time out and are likely to face more frustration when they host Alguacil's side this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 48.18%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Granada had a probability of 24.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Granada win it was 1-0 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Granada	Draw	Real Sociedad
24.62% ( 0.19)	27.2% ( 0.16)	48.18% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 45.2% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.83% (

-0.41)

59.17% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.39% (

-0.32)

79.6% (

0.31)

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60% (

-0.06)

40% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.35% (

-0.05)

76.65% (

0.05)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.34% (

-0.34)

24.66% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.81% (

-0.48)

59.19% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Granada 24.62%

Real Sociedad 48.17%

Draw 27.2%

Granada	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 1.77% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.36% Total : 24.62%	1-1 @ 12.65% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.2%	0-1 @ 13.8% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 9.67% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.29% Total : 48.17%