Hamburger SV

5 - 3

Schalke

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 53.34%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 25.26% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.01%) and 1-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.