2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 32

May 3, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Volksparkstadion

Hamburger SV
1 - 0
St Pauli

Glatzel (85')
Muheim (39'), Meffert (66'), Baumgart (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Metcalfe (45+4'), Saliakas (79')
Saliakas (90+7')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Live Updates

Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Hamburger SV and St Pauli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamburger SV

All competitions

Last Game: Braunschweig 0-4 Hamburger SV
Saturday, April 27 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

St Pauli

All competitions

Last Game: St Pauli 1-0 Hansa Rostock
Friday, April 26 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 36.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.06%) and 2-0 (5.24%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.

Result
Hamburger SV	Draw	St Pauli
40.82% ( 0.29)	22.8% ( 0.23)	36.38% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 65.99% (

-0.97)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.05% (

-1.23)

34.95% (

1.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.07% (

-1.39)

56.93% (

1.39)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.24% (

-0.39)

17.76% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.54% (

-0.68)

48.45% (

0.68)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.24% (

-0.79)

19.75% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.21% (

-1.3)

51.79% (

1.3)

Score Analysis

Hamburger SV 40.82%

St Pauli 36.38%

Draw 22.8%

Hamburger SV	Draw	St Pauli
2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.08% Total : 40.82%	1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.8%	1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.3% Total : 36.38%