Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 52.42%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for St Pauli in this match.

Result
Hertha Berlin	Draw	St Pauli
25% ( -0)	22.58% ( -0)	52.42% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 59.85% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.89% (

40.11% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.53% (

62.48% (

-0)

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.74% (

29.26% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.78% (

-0)

65.22% (

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.61% (

15.39% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.81% (

0.01)

44.19% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Hertha Berlin 25%

St Pauli 52.42%

Draw 22.57%

Hertha Berlin	Draw	St Pauli
2-1 @ 6.36% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.53% 2-0 @ 3.4% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 2.44% 3-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.27% Total : 25%	1-1 @ 10.35% 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.57%	1-2 @ 9.69% 0-1 @ 8.43% 0-2 @ 7.89% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.05% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.92% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.72% 1-4 @ 2.83% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.3% 2-4 @ 1.74% 1-5 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.81% Total : 52.42%