Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 1

Aug 19, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Campo La Quinta

Hoffenheim
1 - 2
Freiburg

Kabak (50')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Szalai (39' og.), Sallai (45+3')
Lienhart (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Lubeck 1-4 Hoffenheim
Monday, August 14 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Oberachern 0-2 Freiburg
Sunday, August 13 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

We said: Hoffenheim 2-1 Freiburg

Hoffenheim have recruited smartly during the transfer window and they should head into this campaign with real momentum after escaping relegation with some excellent form under Matarazzo's guidance. Freiburg have had a quieter summer, but they may find Flekken's gloves in goal difficult to fill. Having punched above their weight for two seasons running yet ultimately fallen short of their Champions League dream, we would not be surprised to see them start the season a little slowly here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 37.28% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.18%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Freiburg
38.76% ( -0.04)	23.96% ( -0)	37.28% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 61.62% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.32% (

0.02)

40.68% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.94% (

0.02)

63.06% (

-0.02)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.86% (

-0.01)

21.14% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.01% (

-0.02)

53.99% (

0.01)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.13% (

0.03)

21.87% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.89% (

0.04)

55.11% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 38.76%

Freiburg 37.28%

Draw 23.96%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Freiburg
2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.34% 3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 38.76%	1-1 @ 10.92% 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.96%	1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.03% 0-2 @ 5.34% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 37.28%