Holstein Kiel

4 - 2

Hamburger SV

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.69%) and 0-2 (4.92%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.