Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Inter Miami | Draw | Columbus Crew |
31.75% ( 0.59) | 24.78% ( 0.09) | 43.47% ( -0.68) |
Both teams to score 57.29% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.26% ( -0.15) | 45.74% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.94% ( -0.14) | 68.05% ( 0.14) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.6% ( 0.31) | 27.39% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.13% ( 0.4) | 62.86% ( -0.4) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.91% ( -0.37) | 21.09% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.08% ( -0.58) | 53.92% ( 0.57) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Miami | Draw | Columbus Crew |
2-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.95% Total : 31.75% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.78% | 1-2 @ 9.06% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.63% Total : 43.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 13 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 29 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 14 |
13 | Dallas | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 14 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |