Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 4

Sep 16, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter Milan
5 - 1
AC Milan

Mkhitaryan (5', 69'), Thuram (38'), Calhanoglu (79' pen.), Frattesi (90+3')
Calhanoglu (72'), Frattesi (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Leao (57')
Thiaw (24'), Hernandez (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, September 3 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 1-2 AC Milan
Friday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Inter Milan 2-1 AC Milan

Inter and Milan not only top the table together but have also scored the most goals in Serie A this season, with eight apiece. However, Saturday's contest should be much tighter, with the fear of derby defeat proving a major factor. As a result, scoring twice would surely be enough to secure maximum points, and such is the Nerazzurri's firepower they can do so and beat their Rossoneri rivals once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	AC Milan
47.42% ( 0)	25.76% ( 0)	26.82%

Both teams to score 51.11% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.58% (

-0)

52.42% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.9% (

-0)

74.1% (

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.9% (

22.1% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.53% (

-0)

55.47% (

0.01)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.62% (

-0)

34.38% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.91% (

-0)

71.09% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 47.42%

AC Milan 26.82%

Draw 25.75%

Inter Milan	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.24% 2-0 @ 8.66% 3-1 @ 4.65% 3-0 @ 4.36% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.23% Total : 47.42%	1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.75%	0-1 @ 8.11% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.54% 0-2 @ 4.33% 1-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 1.76% 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 26.82%