Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-0 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Inter Milan |
33.55% ( 0.15) | 27.9% ( -0.11) | 38.55% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 47.89% ( 0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.96% ( 0.44) | 58.04% ( -0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.28% ( 0.34) | 78.72% ( -0.34) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.64% ( 0.32) | 32.35% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.14% ( 0.36) | 68.86% ( -0.37) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.79% ( 0.19) | 29.2% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.85% ( 0.23) | 65.15% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 10.66% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.7% Total : 33.55% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.89% | 0-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.64% Total : 38.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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