Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 26

Mar 15, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

RheinEnergieStadion

FC Koln
1 - 5
RB Leipzig

Adamyan (18')
Finkgrafe (49'), Alidou (66')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Simons (15'), Openda (63', 67'), Haidara (70'), Poulsen (82')
Simons (62'), Haidara (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

All competitions

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-3 FC Koln
Saturday, March 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Darmstadt
Saturday, March 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: FC Koln 1-3 RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig bounced back well from their Champions League disappointment last week and have an excellent opportunity to move into the top four in the league, with Dortmund taking on Frankfurt later in the weekend. Koln have lost three of their last four home games, and we feel they will struggle to avoid another defeat in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.55%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
FC Koln	Draw	RB Leipzig
29.38% ( -0.03)	22.99% ( -0.01)	47.63% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 62.3% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.42% (

38.58% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.12% (

60.87% (

-0.01)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.63% (

-0.02)

25.36% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.84% (

-0.03)

60.16% (

0.03)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.47% (

0.02)

16.53% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.72% (

0.03)

46.28% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

FC Koln 29.38%

RB Leipzig 47.63%

Draw 22.99%

FC Koln	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.75% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.38%	1-1 @ 10.35% 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.19% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.99%	1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.59% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.84% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.52% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.83% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.73% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 3.49% Total : 47.63%