La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 6

Sep 24, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio de Gran Canaria

Las Palmas
1 - 0
Granada

Rodriguez (90+2')
Suarez (39'), Marmol (39'), Araujo (43'), Mfulu (58'), Kaba (80')
Marmol (58')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gumbau (7'), Villar (70'), Sanchez (82'), Fernandez (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Las Palmas and Granada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Las Palmas

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Las Palmas
Sunday, September 17 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Granada

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Granada 2-4 Girona
Monday, September 18 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Las Palmas 2-1 Granada

Las Palmas have proven to be goal-shy in the early stages of the season, but we believe that a vulnerable Granada backline could present the hosts with enough chances to end their barren spell. At the other end of the pitch, Las Palmas have conceded no more than one goal in any of their five games, and we think that a solid defensive base will lay the foundations for a victory on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for Granada had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Las Palmas in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Las Palmas.

Result
Las Palmas	Draw	Granada
43.16% ( 0.18)	27.29% ( -0.02)	29.55% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 48.32% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.13% (

-0)

56.86% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.21% (

-0)

77.79% (

Las Palmas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.89% (

0.09)

26.11% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.83% (

0.13)

61.17% (

-0.12)

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.39% (

-0.13)

34.6% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.67% (

-0.14)

71.33% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Las Palmas 43.15%

Granada 29.55%

Draw 27.29%

Las Palmas	Draw	Granada
1-0 @ 12.13% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 43.15%	1-1 @ 12.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.04% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.29%	0-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 29.55%