La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 24

Feb 10, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Gran Canaria

Las Palmas
2 - 0
Valencia

Suarez (89'), Cardona (90+5')
Marmol (48'), Cardona (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Las Palmas and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Las Palmas

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Granada 1-1 Las Palmas
Saturday, February 3 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Valencia

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Valencia 2-1 Almeria
Saturday, February 3 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Las Palmas 1-1 Valencia

Las Palmas have only lost three times at home this season, while Valencia have just three away victories to their name. Strong cases can be made for both teams to win on Saturday, but we are expecting a very tight game and have had to settle on a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.

Result
Las Palmas	Draw	Valencia
37.48% ( -0.01)	27.5% ( 0.01)	35.02% ( 0)

Both teams to score 49.29% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.62% (

-0.03)

56.38% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.6% (

-0.02)

77.4% (

0.02)

Las Palmas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.97% (

-0.02)

29.03% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.06% (

-0.03)

64.93% (

0.03)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.45% (

-0.02)

30.55% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.22% (

-0.02)

66.78% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Las Palmas 37.47%

Valencia 35.01%

Draw 27.49%

Las Palmas	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.78% 3-1 @ 3.32% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 37.47%	1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.49%	0-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.24% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.47% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.25% Total : 35.01%