Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 36

May 12, 2024 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
2 - 0
Empoli

Patric (45+3'), Vecino (89')
Lazzari (77'), Rovella (85'), Romagnoli (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gyasi (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Monza 2-2 Lazio
Saturday, May 4 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Empoli 0-0 Frosinone
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

The combination of Lazio's improved home form and Empoli's woes on the road indicate only one outcome at Stadio Olimpico: the hosts should claim three points, while their visitors stay deep in danger at the wrong end of Serie A. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 13.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.84%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lazio in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lazio.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Empoli
65.23% ( -0.51)	21.07% ( 0.42)	13.69% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 44.79% (

-1.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.79% (

-1.53)

50.2% (

1.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.83% (

-1.37)

72.16% (

1.37)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.36% (

-0.65)

14.63% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.24% (

-1.26)

42.75% (

1.25)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.46% (

-0.81)

47.53% (

0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.11% (

-0.61)

82.88% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

Lazio 65.22%

Empoli 13.69%

Draw 21.07%

Lazio	Draw	Empoli
1-0 @ 13.36% ( 0.51) 2-0 @ 12.84% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.2% Total : 65.22%	1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.07%	0-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.98% Total : 13.69%