Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lazio in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lazio.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Fiorentina |
40.59% ( 0.34) | 25.76% ( 0.2) | 33.65% ( -0.54) |
Both teams to score 54.64% ( -0.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.53% ( -0.99) | 49.47% ( 0.99) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.49% ( -0.9) | 71.51% ( 0.9) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.9% ( -0.27) | 24.1% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.6% ( -0.39) | 58.39% ( 0.39) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.99% ( -0.81) | 28.01% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.34% ( -1.04) | 63.66% ( 1.04) |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.9% Total : 40.59% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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