Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 28

Mar 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
1 - 2
Udinese

Gianetti (49' og.)
Anderson (45+1'), Romagnoli (57'), Vecino (90+9')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lucca (47'), Zarraga (51')
Perez (44'), Okoye (64'), Bijol (83'), Lucca (86'), Samardzic (87')
Perez (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Lazio
Tuesday, March 5 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Udinese

All competitions

Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Salernitana
Saturday, March 2 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

A run of 17 games without a win against Lazio in front of a crowd means Udinese are up against it here, while a tally of just three wins all season will provide even less comfort for the visitors. Despite a poor showing in midweek, and back-to-back league defeats, Lazio will be overriding favourites here, and should take the three points, with all focus now on domestic matters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 52.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 20.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Udinese
52.62% ( 0.25)	26.76% ( 0.17)	20.62% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 42.16% (

-0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.14% (

-0.93)

60.86% (

0.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.11% (

-0.71)

80.88% (

0.71)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.63% (

-0.29)

23.37% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.66% (

-0.43)

57.34% (

0.43)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.02% (

-1)

44.98% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.08% (

-0.81)

80.92% (

0.81)

Score Analysis

Lazio 52.61%

Udinese 20.62%

Draw 26.74%

Lazio	Draw	Udinese
1-0 @ 15.28% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.44% Total : 52.61%	1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.49% Total : 26.74%	0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.75% Total : 20.62%