Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7

Oct 1, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade Oceane

Le Havre
0 - 2
Lille

FT(HT: 0-1)

Zhegrova (40'), Salmier (52' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions

Last Game: Le Havre 2-1 Clermont
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lille 1-2 Reims
Tuesday, September 26 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Given that Le Havre have only lost one of their six matches this season, we expect Elsner's men to pick up another positive result on home soil, although Lille are expected to leave the Stade Oceane with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Le Havre	Draw	Lille
27.4% ( -0.1)	27.08% ( -0.02)	45.52% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 47.69% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.94% (

0.04)

57.06% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.05% (

0.03)

77.95% (

-0.03)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.59% (

-0.06)

36.41% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.81% (

-0.06)

73.19% (

0.06)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75% (

0.08)

25% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.34% (

0.11)

59.66% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Le Havre 27.4%

Lille 45.52%

Draw 27.08%

Le Havre	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 27.4%	1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.08%	0-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 45.52%