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Le Havre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 14, 2024 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Oceane
Lyon

Le Havre
3 - 1
Lyon

Lloris (18'), Sabbi (50'), Operi (62')
Operi (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lacazette (54')
O'Brien (30'), Caleta-Car (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Le Havre 2-1 Caen
Sunday, January 7 at 1.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Pontarlier 0-3 Lyon
Sunday, January 7 at 1.30pm in Coupe de France

We said: Le Havre 1-2 Lyon

Le Havre have fared well so far on their return to Ligue 1 but could be dragged towards the relegation zone during the second half of the campaign. Lyon are on a roll after such a dreadful start to the campaign, and we reckon that Sage will celebrate his permanent position as Les Gones manager with three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Le HavreDrawLyon
30.5% (0.041 0.04) 27.28% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 42.22% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.8% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.53% (0.042999999999999 0.04)56.46% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.53% (0.036999999999999 0.04)77.47% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32% (0.054000000000002 0.05)33.68% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.66% (0.059000000000001 0.06)70.33% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58%26.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.42% (0.0019999999999953 0)61.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Le Havre 30.5%
    Lyon 42.21%
    Draw 27.27%
Le HavreDrawLyon
1-0 @ 9.68% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 7.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.27% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.54% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.91% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 30.5%
1-1 @ 12.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.9% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.67% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 11.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.81%
0-3 @ 3.5% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.27%
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 42.21%

How you voted: Le Havre vs Lyon

Le Havre
18.6%
Draw
23.3%
Lyon
58.1%
43
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Lyon
0-0
Le Havre
Lacazette (5'), Mata (41'), Kumbedi (79')
Bayo (38'), Casimir (65')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
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Group Stage
Spain
vs.
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Friday, June 21
 
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Sunday, June 23
 
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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