Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

Jun 4, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
2 - 3
Bologna

Banda (17'), Oudin (88')
Gallo (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Arnautovic (58'), Zirkzee (81'), Ferguson (90+7')
Posch (35'), Aebischer (84'), Zirkzee (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Monza 0-1 Lecce
Sunday, May 28 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bologna

All competitions

Last Game: Bologna 2-2 Napoli
Sunday, May 28 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

The Stadio Via del Mare faithful will be in party mode on Sunday as they cheer on their team without any lingering relegation fears. Bologna will be eager to finish as high up the table as possible, but the visitors may have to settle for a share of the spoils as the hosts aim to sign off on a high. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 36.11%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Bologna
35.99% ( -0.06)	27.9% ( -0)	36.11% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 48.11% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.13% (

57.87% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.41% (

78.58% (

-0.01)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.32% (

-0.04)

30.68% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.07% (

-0.04)

66.93% (

0.04)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.4% (

0.04)

30.6% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.16% (

0.05)

66.83% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Lecce 35.98%

Bologna 36.11%

Draw 27.89%

Lecce	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 35.98%	1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.39% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.89%	0-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 36.11%