UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Group Stage

Nov 9, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Legia
2 - 0
Zrinjski Mostar

Augustyniak (14'), Pesqueira (30' pen.)
Celhaka (6'), Elitim (90+2'), Wszolek (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa Conference League Group Stage clash between Legia Warsaw and Zrinjski Mostar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Legia Warsaw

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Radomiak Radom 0-1 Legia
Sunday, November 5 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Top scorers

Zrinjski Mostar

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 1-2 Legia
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 58.42%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Zrinjski Mostar had a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Zrinjski Mostar win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.

Result
Legia Warsaw	Draw	Zrinjski Mostar
58.42% ( -0.05)	22.98% ( 0.01)	18.6% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 49.47% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.46% (

-0.01)

49.54% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.43% (

-0.01)

71.57% (

0.01)

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.34% (

-0.02)

16.66% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.49% (

-0.04)

46.51% (

0.04)

Zrinjski Mostar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.36% (

0.03)

40.64% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.77% (

0.03)

77.23% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Legia Warsaw 58.42%

Zrinjski Mostar 18.6%

Draw 22.97%

Legia Warsaw	Draw	Zrinjski Mostar
1-0 @ 12.13% 2-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.85% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 58.42%	1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.97%	0-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 18.6%